Looking at expected goals vs actual goals is usually the best indicator here. If a mid-table side is winning games with just two shots on target while conceding fifteen, regression is bound to hit them soon. I learned this after getting burned betting on a team on a random five-game winning streak that was pure luck. Now, I track underlying metrics and shot volume. Watching live games on 1xbet in-play betting really helps to spot when a side is getting pinned in their own box despite leading.